120 case threshold could be reached within two weeks

By TPN/Lusa, in News, COVID-19 · 13-04-2021 16:10:00 · 7 Comments

The covid-19 pandemic has registered a “reversal of the downward trend” in Portugal, with a transmissibility index (R) of 1.05, as numbers show that the country may reach 120 cases per 100,000 inhabitants within “two weeks to a month”.

The information was provided by researcher Baltazar Nunes, from the National Health Institute Dr. Ricardo Jorge (INSA), who highlighted the current “growth phase” of the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus in the country and said that on April 8, the last time which there was data, the R has already reached 1.09, when in the previous Infarmed meeting (March 23) the value of this index was 0.89.

“In the country, with this level of growth and a rate close to 71 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants, the time to reach the line of 120 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants is between two weeks and one month.

“The Algarve region has already reached that value and so have the regions of Madeira and the Azores”, he said, in reference to the first line of evaluation of the matrix designed by the Government to control the epidemiological situation in the plan of deflation.

In an intervention carried out at the meeting at Infarmed, in Lisbon, which brings together experts, members of the Government and the President of the Republic, Baltazar Nunes highlighted that the increase in incidence is more visible in the age group up to 9 years old and that, on the contrary, and “Very positive”, the incidence of new cases in the age group above 65 years was low.

Portugal has also increased its mobility indexes, with the end of confinement, and is now “in the middle of the table of countries with the greatest population mobility”, in addition to an increase in the contacts of citizens with different age groups.



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Comments:

My question is... Why the magical number of 120 cases per 100,000 inhabitants? Why 120?! Why not 130 , or 110 ? Where is the science of that number? An honest question.

By Fabio from Alentejo on 17-04-2021 11:22

Mr Rune Prytz , try exiting your analytical left brain and connect to your heart.
You might see through the illusion.

By James Pryor from Lisbon on 14-04-2021 05:43

This means:
1. The cases started to grow as the lockdown ended which was expected. If it would not have happen it would have meant hat people were complying with the lockdown and the lift of the restrictions were indifferent.

2. The right balance between open society and restrictions has not been found in order to maintain the levels at the proposed target

3. The relative increase of cases in kids below 9 years is higher the average of the population. This is expected as this group has been one of the most isolated during the lockdowns and having below average number of contacts with respect to the total population.

4. It provides some evidence, but not conclusive, that the vaccination of older people is starting to have an effect. This is expected.

4. It does not conclude that the spread among children is the reason for the R value being > 1 and thus the cases rising.

5. It does not conclude which lockdown measures where effective and which were not.

By Rune Prytz from Lisbon on 14-04-2021 10:05

This is not about a virus, we see the same shit all over the world.

By Pedro from Lisbon on 14-04-2021 09:54

This ridiculous, economy, livelihood destroying cycle is going to continue until they allow healthy people to go about their normal lives and build up herd immunity naturally as we have done for millennia! Shield the elderly and vulnerable and let the rest of us live OUR LIVES! These lockdowns are simply the result of governments doing the bidding of their billionaire WEF masters from Davos. They are not doing this in the best interests of their citizens. Politicians and other culpable people must be held accountable!

By SS from Algarve on 14-04-2021 09:20

This will never end until the people revolt

By Latoysha Adams from UK on 13-04-2021 06:41

What does all this blah blah mean ?
Spin Doctors at best !

By Jerome T. from Porto on 13-04-2021 04:50
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