DGS cautious about pandemic peak predictions in Portugal

in News · 02-04-2020 16:40:00 · 0 Comments

The director-general of Health (DGS) today advised caution in the predictions about the peak of the covid-19 pandemic in Portugal, saying that the numbers of new cases may fluctuate.

“We will only know that we were at the peak when we start to descend. And even so, it is not in the first days of descent, because sometimes, after an apparent descent, there will be an increase again”, said Graça Freitas at the conference on the progression of the pandemic in Portugal.

The official said that the epidemic curve in Portugal is still “in a clear ascendancy”, but not in an “exponential and abrupt” way.

"We have had a relatively flat rise, but we do not know when the peak will be for sure," she said, reiterating that it will be more "a plateau" and that "data related to the peak has to be very cautious".

The director-general stressed that, more than a daily number, what matters to health authorities is, above all, “the number of patients per week” for the system to be able to respond.

“This is the main objective of the services and the health system: to be able to have in a unit of time, one week, for example, a sufficiently controllable number of patients to respond well and safely, even if for that we have to take more weeks until we reach the peak and then start to go down the curve, ”she said.

The most recent forecasts by the health authorities suggested that the most acute phase of the disease in Portugal pointed to the month of May.

The new coronavirus, responsible for the covid-19 pandemic, has already infected more than 940,000 people worldwide, of whom more than 47,000 have died.


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