The intentions to vote in Partido Socialista (PS) are 7.4% higher than in previous polls; however, the party led by Pedro Nuno Santos remains in second place, with 28.1% of the votes.

The third strongest political force in Portugal, CHEGA, is estimated to get 15,2% of the votes, less than the results of the 2024 legislative elections. According to the same poll, Iniciativa Liberal (IL) may gain 7,4% of the votes.

The smaller parties, mainly of the left, may make some gains regarding the number of votes, namely Livre, which is predicted to be voted by 4,4% of the population, alongside CDU, the coalition between the Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and Os Verdes, with 4,1% of the votes. Bloco de Esquerda (BE) may lose deputies in these elections, being voted by 1,9% of the votes, and PAN may not elect a single deputy in this election, with 0,6% of the votes.

Despite the debate season and the beginning of the official campaign, there are 15,4% of the Portuguese still do not know who to vote for. As well as that, there is a possibility of registering 39% of abstentions in these elections.

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