COVID 19: Portugal Update, 31 July

in News · 31-07-2020 15:23:00 · 4 Comments
COVID 19: Portugal Update, 31 July

Portugal today registers eight more deaths and 204 new cases of infection by covid-19 in relation to Thursday, according to the daily bulletin of the Directorate-General for Health (DGS).

According to the DGS epidemiological situation report, since the beginning of the pandemic until today, there have been 51,072 confirmed cases of infection and 1,735 deaths.

The Lisbon and Tagus Valley region, where there are still more active outbreaks of covid-19, today totals 26,067 cases, 128 more than the day before, that is, 63 percent of new infections.

In percentage terms, in the last 24 hours, the increase in deaths was 0.5% (from 1,727 to 1,735) and that of confirmed cases was 0.4 percent (from 50,868 to 51,072).

In number of cases, Lisbon and Vale do Tejo leads, with 26,067, followed by the North region (18,675, plus 51 cases), the Centre region (4,439, four new cases). The Algarve has five more cases (883), and the Alentejo has 734 cases, 17 more than the previous day.

In the Azores, there are 168 cases, one more than on Thursday, and Madeira maintains the 106 cases.

The North region continues to record the highest number of deaths (828), followed by the region of Lisbon and the Tagus Valley (604), the Centre (252), Alentejo (21), Algarve (15) and the Azores (15).

According to the bulletin that portrays the epidemiological situation of infection by the new coronavirus in the country, the eight most recorded deaths today occurred in the region of Lisbon and the Tagus Valley.

The number of people hospitalised is 381 in the last 24 hours, (21 less than on Thursday) while in intensive care there are now 41 people (minus one).

The data indicate that of the total fatalities, 868 are women and 867 are men.

By age group, the highest number of deaths is concentrated in people over 80 years old (1,163), followed by those between 70 and 79 years old (337), between 60 and 69 years old (154) and between 50 and 59 years old (55). There are still 20 deaths registered between 40 and 49, three between 30 and 39 and two between 20 and 29 years of age.

In global terms, there are more people infected in the age group between 40 and 49 years (8,471), then between 30 and 39 years (8,338), 20 and 29 years (7,819), 50 to 59 years (7,735), followed by people over 80 years old (5,827).

Health authorities have 35,757 people under surveillance and 1,650 await laboratory results.

The number of patients reported to have recovered from covid-19 increased in the last 24 hours to 36,483, an additional 343, a higher number than new cases (204).

The pandemic caused by the covid-19 killed at least 673,909 people and infected 17,352,910 worldwide, according to the latest balance made by the Agency France-Presse (AFP) based on official data.


Comments:

The mean number of new Covid-19 cases per million in Portugal is twice that of the UK and up to end July, the Lisbon municipality was a European hot spot. So the UK decision to exclude Portugal, almost two weeks ago would seem appropriate. However if you look at the contact tracing methods between the UK and Portugal there is good evidence to suggest that Portugal are doing a much more diligent job and that has in effect has resulted in a higher number of new cases (mostly asymptomatic).

The UK stated they would review things on a weekly basis and if they look at the data this week from Portugal they will find that Portugal is one of the few European countires to show a gradual decline in new cases over the last two weeks. Denmark has already recognised this trend last week and approved travel to Portugal. Perhaps the UK government might follow Denmark or even Germany and the Netherlands (travel to Portugal but not to Lisbon) this week but I think the higher new case rates in Portugal will still drive the decision-making. Lets hope the tracing teams in Portugal continue to keep Covid-19 at bay and keep testing all contacts. However I learn that the testing policy is changing, potentially manipulating the new case data to make it more in line with the UK. Dropping healthcare standards could lead to an earlier opening of a UK air-bridge but at what cost to health?

by Al from Lisbon on 03-08-2020 11:31:00

When I checked the Worldometer website this morning for the number of new cases in the UK for the week ending 31 July, they report a total of 5,267 cases. Assuming a UK 68,000,000 population, this results in a weekly infection rate of about 7.76 per 100,000.

Meanwhile, Portugal reported 1,380 new cases for the same period which, given a population of about 10,200,000, results in a weekly infection rate of 13.54 per 100,000. So, there is a gap and the rate is about twice as high in Portugal and may explain why the UK air bridge is not yet open.

However, looking at weekly deaths per 100,000 over the same period, Portugal fared much better than the UK.

by Mr Robert Lambert from UK on 03-08-2020 10:29:00

Is it safe to travel to the Algarve

by Jeff Bonney from UK on 02-08-2020 01:44:00

I just do not understand why Portugal is not on the UK exemption list, with your low rates per 100,000 compared to UK. There seems to be no explanation from the Government, is there any truth in the rumour that, actually, the Portugese Government are not keen in the British visiting while our rates are high. We visit regularly, keeping our boat in Portimao Marina. Would appreciate others views and opinions.

by Christopher Jackson from UK on 01-08-2020 09:53:00
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